crippling blackouts have resumed across ukraine after russia devastated the country’s electrical grid this spring. with energy shortages expected to persist deep into the winter, canada should step up and supply the ukrainians with portable generators, especially if this aid is structured in a way that supports canadian manufacturers.
since march, moscow has destroyed half of ukraine’s energy-generating capacity by bombing thermal power plants, hydroelectric power stations and energy storage facilities. these attacks were made possible by delays in western arms shipments earlier this year, which left ukrainian air defences so critically low on ammunition that missiles and drones routinely overwhelmed them.
ukraine’s remaining energy is predominantly supplied by nuclear power plants, which russia has mostly avoided targeting — no one wants another chernobyl or fukushima, it seems. but while this protects ukraine from total de-electrification, nuclear alone cannot meet national demand, even with increased electricity imports from western neighbours.
since may, power has been rationed across the country through the use of controlled blackouts that last around six to 20 hours a day, depending on the region and week. critical infrastructure, such as hospitals and train stations, is exempt from these cuts.
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the blackouts are the worst seen since the winter of 2022-23 , when russia first attacked ukraine’s electrical grid. ukrainian officials now worry that if summertime shortages are already so severe, then next winter may be calamitous — citizens could have to make do with only four hours of power a day. regular blackouts could even persist for two years, if not longer.
it would be prudent for us to help ukraine overcome these challenges, as the country’s survival bolsters our own national security — weakening russia helps to safeguard canada’s arctic from military incursions in the long-term, after all. yet our assistance on this file has been paltry thus far.
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earlier this month, canada committed $20 million towards helping ukraine replace its damaged energy equipment and infrastructure. that may sound like a lot, but, to put things into perspective, we spent almost $11 billion on international aid last year. we obviously can, and should, do more.
when ukraine first faced blackouts in late 2022, allies donated thousands of generators that helped maintain the country’s energy resiliency . why not scale up this proven model of support? such aid could actually flow back into our own communities, so long as the federal government made a concerted effort to include canadian manufacturers.
i spoke with mark dumont, a representative of westquip diesel sales , a canadian portable generator manufacturer, about the feasibility of such a scheme.
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dumont estimated that around five to 15 per cent of generator manufacturing costs go towards labour, which is fairly in line with industry norms. so a reasonable portion of any government orders would trickle down to canadian workers. however, as most generator parts (i.e. diesel engines) must be sourced from international vendors, government funds would largely not be reinvested into other kinds of domestic manufacturing.
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i think there’s an opportunity here. if the federal government were to send generators to ukraine — predominantly large international ones at first, followed by only canadian products — it could be a win-win scenario. not only would we support an ally and reinforce our own national security, we could help grow a small, but strategically important, domestic industry. sending aid abroad can create jobs back home, and expanding our manufacturing capacity for emergency items is not a bad idea in an increasingly dangerous world.